Insights.fyi

Climate/Technology/Demography

Data-driven scenario analyses on the slow-moving forces that shape the years ahead. Three featured briefs from the wider edition appear below.

Featured This Edition Three Briefs

Climate · ENSO Outlook

Running 1997's Script in a Warmer Theater

A side-by-side of the 1997–98 super El Niño and today's emerging event, with three plausible outcomes for the year ahead.

On a planet already half a degree hotter than it was during the last super El Niño, the same atmospheric script plays out against a shifted baseline. The brief reads the 1997–98 record beside today's emerging event, then projects three scenarios for the year ahead, from a contained return to neutral to a record-setting peak with cascading regional consequences.

+2.2°C

Model median peak

82%

Emergence probability

$5.7T

1997–98 loss, 5-yr

Technology · INSEAD Global Trends

AI & Digital Transformation

The leading issue for business in 2026, and the only one that reads at once as the biggest opportunity and the biggest threat.

61% cite AI top priority · 44% call it a threat · 2× productivity divide

Demography · Global Analysis

The Demographic Cliff

Population decline, aging societies and a shrinking workforce arrive together, with AI as the wildcard.

0.75 S. Korea TFR · −155M China by 2050 · 66 countries declining

Each brief gathers the primary sources (NOAA, WMO, ECMWF, INSEAD, McKinsey, UN, OECD, UNDP, IMF) and renders them as interactive charts and plain-language scenarios. Figures are illustrative and based on published records.